Over the last few election cycles, especially in 2022, The New York Times/Siena poll has proven one of the most accurate in the business. Unlike internet polls like Morning Consult or YouGov, which turn out polls on a near daily basis and have extremely spotty records, The New York Times/Siena polls are produced just a few times a year and use a mixed methodology to get their results.
On Monday morning, they released their first poll of the 2024 presidential election, focusing on the Republican primary.
Here are the parts of the poll that I’m focusing on, and you should be too: