America has had a fertility rate below replacement levels for quite some time. Around the mid-00s, birthrates across the country started plunging fairly significantly as groups that had lots of babies suddenly stopped, mostly notably Hispanics and Mormons. Though The United States remains ahead of most other developed nations, every generation of Americans is smaller than the previous one. New birth data from the Center for Disease Control showed that in 2024, there was a slight increase in the number of people having babies in the United States during the last year, but they weren’t American Citizens.
In 2024, births in the United States were up by 0.48 percent compared to last year, a fairly significant increase in a single year.
Yet this increase wasn’t equal across the board. When comparing birth trends from January to October 31st, Americans had 19,472 fewer children in 2024 than in the year prior.
A large reason for this is that non-Hispanic black birth rates have fallen off a cliff. For the first time in American history, white Americans are expected to have a higher fertility rate than blacks.
The preliminary births from this year state that the black fertility rate has decreased by 4.21 percent compared to last year. A stunning decline.
An early estimate of the black fertility rate is that it will be 1.529 children per woman; this is lower than every other racial group aside from Asians and Native Americans.
Non-Hispanic whites also saw their fertility levels drop by 0.76 percent, basically in line with the decline we saw last year. Native Americans and Pacific Islanders also saw a decrease in fertility by -2.71 percent and -1.02 percent, respectively.
The groups seeing a significant increase were Asians and Hispanics.