Midterm Postmortum Finale

Play Stupid Games, Win Stupid Prizes

This is my last Substack post about the midterm elections (hopefully), where I break down all the data and course through various narratives swirling around the internet and cable news. I know I didn’t have my newsletter this week, but everything will be returning to normal next week.

As it stands, Democrats flipped several state legislatures, gained two governorships in Massachusetts and Maryland as well as the Senate seat in Pennsylvania. Republicans won several statewide offices, the state supreme court in Ohio and North Carolina, super majorities in several states, and flipped the US House of Representatives. Oh and of course, Georgia being Georgia, we have a runoff election next month because this was so much fun, we’re going to do it again.

We still don’t know the exact breakdown of the House yet, but given the data we have so far, we can expect Republicans to have a 221 seat majority to Democrats’ 214 members — far short of what expectations were going into election day.

So now, let’s break down what the data says about the midterms.