Republican Senators Have a Purple Wall Problem

Why Don't Republicans Have a Super Majority in the Senate?

Republicans made history in the last election. No, it wasn’t over Trump and his increased support among minorities or in blue states.

For the first time, probably since the 1920s, Republicans have all the U.S. Senate seats in states that the Republican Presidential candidate won by more than 10 points. Winning the seats in West Virginia, Montana, and Ohio ended Democrats' hold on the Senate but also realigned the map, where the GOP controls all the seats in super-Republican states.

Twenty-four states voted for Trump by 10 points; if Republicans can hold those seats throughout the rest of the decade, they will always have a minimum of 48 seats in the Senate. Likewise, 13 states voted for Democrats by more than 10 points, and if Democrats can continue to hold all those seats, they will have 26 Senators.

So, anyone with an elementary understanding of math knows it’s much easier for Republicans to get closer to 60 than Democrats, especially considering that Trump won most of the remaining states.